These are teams headed in different directions. The Demon Deacons have won six of seven, while the Wolfpack have lost six of seven. NC State is just 7-7 SU at home. And the Wolfpack are terrible defensively, allowing an ACC-high 75.2 points per game. It's a bad matchup against the top shooting team in the conference. Wake Forest shoots 48.7 percent from the field and averages 79.3 points, just behind Duke's 80.2 per game. Lay the small number.

I am rolling with the trends in this game. The Demon Deacons are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games while the Wolfpack are just 1-6 SU and ATS in their last seven games. The Wolfpack are just 3-11 ATS in their 14 home games this season and they should struggle again in this game. This spread is way too small. Kenpom ranks the Deacons 82 spots ahead of the Wolfpack. The Deacons should easily cover this small spread.