The model is making this one a six point victory for St Louis, giving us three points of value on this line against UMass. In the last few meetings between these squads, we have seen St Louis win four of the last five against their A10 rival, all of which by three or more points. UMass was looking strong at home to start the year but they've now suffered back to back losses this month at the Mullins Center to Duquesne by 4 and URI by 13. Both of those teams are ranked worse than Saint Louis and this spread is less than either game finished, grab the value on the Billikens.