This spread is a bit too small. New Hampshire is a better team than a -2 line and the model indicates that this is a good play. The projected margin of victory is 4.5 for New Hampshire. They've won all three of the last meetings against Hartford on the road, and each time by 2 or more. This season, New Hampshire has won all four games in which it was the favorite and Hartford has lost 8 of 9 games in which they were made the underdog. This could come down to free throws, but I like New Hampshire to get it done and cover in a close contest.