UNLV hasn't played since Jan. 1 and could be shorthanded tonight due to COVID issues. In that New Year's Day loss to San Diego State, the Rebels shot 29.7 percent. The Lobos, led by Jamal Mashburn Jr., put up 78.8 points per game. Their fast pace could wear down UNLV's thin roster. Take the points.

The Lobos are the better team. They have been great against the spread as they have covered six of their last eight games including both of their conference games. The Runnin’ Rebels are 4-9 ATS including 4-7 ATS at home. This is due to their struggling offense which ranks in the bottom 15 percent of Division I in field goal percentage. This is too many points to give to the Lobos. Take New Mexico in this Mountain West Conference matchup.