I have one of the bigger model edges I have seen in the last few weeks here for Utah Valley. My numbers are making them 16.5 point favorites with a lot of agreement across the simulations. This is an in-state rivalry game but Utah Valley is the better team and should get this done. Dixie has lost each of its last three games by at least 14 points in contests against Southern Utah, Tarleton State and Abilene Christian. Utah Valley is just as good if not better than those three squads, so this should also finish around the 15-18 point range, take the home favorite.