This spread is backwards. The Eagles should be the slight favorites. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Division I opponents. The Eagles won both of their last two games outright while they were underdogs. The Grizzlies are terrible on the road. Even though the Grizzlies are 9-0 SU and 6-1 ATS at home, they are 1-5 SU and ATS on the road. They have the worst road defense in the country. They are bottom 15 in field goal percentage allowed on the road and worst in the nation in three point percentage allowed on the road. The Eagles should be able to dominate offensively and win this game straight up.

The Eagles continue to get underrated. They're unselfish, leading the Big Sky in assists (16.3). And they hold opponents to 29.5 percent from beyond the arc. They've covered four of their past five as home dogs. Look for Steele Venters (17.3 ppg, 46.2 percent from deep) to stay hot as Eastern Washington takes this game to the wire and possibly wins outright..

This Big Sky Conference game is projected to be a tight game, but the wrong team is favored. My simulations are showing Eastern Washington should be favored by 2 points in this matchup. Montana has just one road win in six games so far this year and it's pretty clear that most other models also think this game should see Eastern Washington win. Grab the extra point and a half on the home underdog.