I have a four point edge in the model on this game, the wrong team is favored and I have the Tommies winning this by 1.5 points. Denver is likely getting respect for their overtime loss against Western Illinois but St . Thomas is the better team. The've beaten SIUE, kept it close with Youngstown and lost to Drake by 10. They should be able to cover with the added 2.5 points. Grab the value on the Tommies.

The Tommies are the better team in this matchup. They are the best three point shooting team in the country. They make an average of 13.7 threes per game on 40.3 percent from downtown. The Pioneers defense is really bad. Kenpom ranks their defense at 315th in the country. They have been struggling recently. They are just 1-7 SU in their last eight games. The Pioneers should be struggling again in this game. The Tommies offense should lead them to a win over the struggling Pioneers.