Big 12 football championship odds: Texas vs. Oklahoma State most likely title game matchup

Perhaps it's fitting that in the last season in its current incarnation, the Big 12 is the only power league where neither of the conference title participants have been finalized entering the final full week of the regular season. Both Texas and Oklahoma State both control their own destinies as they try to reach the Big 12 title game on Dec. 2 at AT&T Stadium

Texas is the -215 favorite to win the Big 12 Championship Game and is the only school in the conference with a realistic shot at the College Football Playoff. The latest CFP Rankings are due out Tuesday night. Texas is seventh in the AP and Coaches Top 25 polls and was No. 8 in the last edition of the CFP Rankings. None of the teams ahead of the Longhorns lost this past week, so Texas is likely to stay put.

Coach Steve Sarkisian's team, which is 7-1 in league play, will head to Arlington with a home win over Texas Tech on Friday night. UT is a 13-point favorite in the final meeting between the rivals for the foreseeable future with Texas headed to the SEC next year. The Longhorns are the Big 12's only hope for representation in the playoff, but will not make it with a loss to the Red Raiders or in the Big 12 title game.

DraftKings gives Texas +130 odds to make the playoff and -160 to miss it. Texas would also finish first in the regular-season standings with a loss and Oklahoma and Oklahoma State losses. It also would be first with a loss, an Oklahoma win, and Oklahoma State win and a Kansas State win. Texas finishes second with a loss and an Oklahoma State loss.

Oklahoma State, Oklahoma and Kansas State are all 6-2 in the league and are the only other teams who can get to Dallas. The Cowboys (+260 to win the Big 12) will be there with a win Saturday and a Texas win. Oklahoma State is a 17-point home favorites against injury-ravaged and disappointing BYU. If Oklahoma State does indeed win, as seems likely, it would at worst create a three-way tie for second with Oklahoma and Kansas State, but the Cowboys beat both of those teams and win the updated tiebreaker.

Oklahoma (+700) clinches a spot with win over TCU, a Texas win over Texas Tech and a BYU win over Oklahoma State. In that scenario, the Sooners finish first. They would finish second with a win, a Texas win and an Oklahoma State loss. They'd also finish second with a win, a Texas loss, an Oklahoma State win and a Kansas State loss. Star Oklahoma QB Dillon Gabriel was hurt in this past Saturday's win at BYU but is expected to play Friday vs. the Horned Frogs, who are 10-point road dogs.

Finally, defending champion Kansas State (+2500) clinches a second straight Big 12 title spot with a win over Iowa State, a TCU win over Oklahoma, and a BYU win over Oklahoma State. The Wildcats figure to do their part as 10-point home favorites vs. the Cyclones, but the both of the other necessary upsets happening is quite unlikely. K-State also would sneak in with a win, an OU win, an Oklahoma State win and a Texas loss. Also not likely.

If it's Texas-Oklahoma State, the Longhorns would be opening favorites, likely at least -3.5. The two teams didn't play this season.

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