The 5-1 team is a 3-point underdog against the 2-4 team and it has created a public 'dog, with 62% of betting tickets on the Giants. Fading public 'dogs is a favorite play of many gamblers, and you can count me in here. The Giants have leaned on the run in their surprising start, but the Jaguars are allowing the third fewest yards per carry in the league (3.6). The Jags also like to run it, and the Giants have allowed the MOST yards per carry (5.6). Jacksonville throws it better, too. Lay the points.

Amid their three-game losing streak, the Jaguars have found a future star: Travis Etienne. The Clemson product, now starting over James Robinson, rushed for 157 yards on 20 carries the past two weeks, adding 65 receiving yards. He'll face a Giants defense that ranks dead last against the run, allowing 5.6 yards per carry. Trevor Lawrence also is coming off a terrific game in which he accounted for three TDs while posting a 113.1 passer rating. The Giants have earned their breaks to get to 5-1 under dynamic first-year coach Brian Daboll, But I like the Jaguars -- who have allowed a total of 13 points in their two home games -- to bounce back and cover the field goal.