SMU's defense should take care of its responsibility toward an Under. The Mustangs are allowing just 14.6 ppg and have doled out 16, 10 and zero in their last three. Tulsa has managed 17 and 10 points in its last two games. The Golden Hurricanes' defense will contribute less but gets a helping hand from the weather. Rains are expected all morning and could extend into the game. The Mustangs could (pun intended) pour it on, but will they bother to? They might need seven TDs to take it to an Over, and the weather figures to get in the way.