The door has opened for BVB to climb into second place in the Bundesliga after RB Leipzig stumbled on Saturday vs. Union Berlin. Recent trends vs. Sunday foe Freiburg are about as one-sided as can be...in the last five meetings, all BVB wins, it has outscored Freiburg 20-4. Freiburg's challenge will be to put one past Dortmund keeper Gregor Kobel, who's only allowed 11 goals all season as BVB has the best defensive record in the Bundesliga outside of Bayern Munich. Also perhaps a chance for Dortmund's Serhou Guirassy to get back on the horse after scoring just once in his last ten; he netted in his only appearance vs. Freiburg last season en route to his 21 goals. Play BVB on Money Line

Short answer to my question in the title? I have no idea and I heavily disagree with it haha. It's not very often we see the line set at over 2.5 goals in a match including Dortmund. Frankly, if this line was -200 I'd still have taken it, we might have the opportunity for a fun little ladder action here! The over has hit every time these teams have played each other since 2020. 10 times in a row we've seen the over. I know both clubs are going to be tired after UEFA competitions, but that shouldn't be moving the line this much. Take over 2.5 , and sprinkle the 3.5 as well!

Dortmund are having themselves a pretty typical season right now. They're third on the Bundesliga table and tenth on the Champions League table. They'll make a deep run in UCL and finish top three per the norm. Also per the norm, I expect them to use Freiburg as punching bag this weekend. For whatever reason, when these two teams play, Dortmund always seems to find incredible form. They've now beaten Freiburg 7 matches straight in head-to-head. Across those seven matches they've also scored a staggering 28 times. It doesn't matter if they're at home or on the road, this matchup is not kind to Freiburg.