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Fri, Mar 071:00 am UTCSmoothie King Center
Houston
Rockets
HOU
Last 5 ATS
W/L52-30
ATS43-39
O/U45-37-0
FINAL SCORE
109
-
97
New Orleans
Pelicans
NO
Last 5 ATS
W/L21-61
ATS34-47
O/U46-36-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
52-30
Win /Loss
21-61
43-39
Spread
34-47
45-37-0
Over / Under
46-36-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
HOU @ NO
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MONEYLINE
HOU @ NO
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OVER / UNDER
HOU @ NO
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50%
PUBLIC
50%
MONEY
69%
PUBLIC
31%
MONEY
Over89%
PUBLIC
Under11%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadNew Orleans +4.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+67
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Picks
+780
10-2 in Last 12 HOU ATS Picks
Tim's Analysis:

The Rockets have been up-and-down as of late, and a lot of their success and failure depends on Fred VanVleet. He’s out tonight, and the Pelicans' Zion Williamson is finally healthy, at home and getting points. I’ll take the home dog.

Pick Made: Mar 06, 11:30 pm UTC on Caesars
Over/UnderOver 230.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1774
77-54-1 in Last 132 NBA O/U Picks
+139
8-6 in Last 14 NO O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

The Pels are paying even less attention to detail since Zion Williamson has ramped up the past month. For 'Nawlins, action seems to have devolved into getting Zion's hands on the ball, with defense something that happens between possessions. NO doesn't always work on the stop end, one reason the Lakers recorded their first over in weeks two nights ago when running away from the Pels, 136-115. If the purpose is for Zion (who scored 37 vs. the Lake Show) to pad his stats, mission accomplished, we suppose. The Rockets cruised in the earlier meeting back on December 19, hitting almost 58% from the floor and sprinting to a 133-113 win at Toyota Center, led by Jalen Green's 34 points. Play Rockets-Pelicans Over

Pick Made: Mar 06, 8:58 pm UTC on Caesars
SpreadHouston -4.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+3388
234-172-2 in Last 408 NBA Picks
+275
5-2 in Last 7 NBA ATS Picks
+60
25-22-2 in Last 49 HOU ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Fred VanVleet (ankle) is the only player of note who is expected to miss this game for the Rockets, so they are in good shape on the health front. Even Jabari Smith Jr. is back after missing over a month with an injury. The Rockets are 18-14 ATS on the road, so they haven’t struggled away from Houston. They have played the Pelicans two times this season and won both games by at least 17 points. The Rockets are the vastly superior team here, so I’m a bit surprised that they aren’t favored more heavily.

Pick Made: Mar 06, 1:29 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Houston Rockets
Saturday, Dec 13, 2025
Avatar
PF
Tari Eason
ObliqueQuestionable
Wednesday, Dec 03, 2025
Avatar
PF
Dorian Finney-Smith
AnkleOut
Tuesday, Oct 21, 2025
Avatar
PG
Fred VanVleet
KneeOut
New Orleans Pelicans
Saturday, Dec 13, 2025
Avatar
PF
Zion Williamson
ThighQuestionable
Thursday, Oct 02, 2025
Avatar
PG
Dejounte Murray
AchillesOut
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