Both teams are alive to win the MAC East at 3-2 in league play, although Buffalo has to win out to get bowl eligible as it played a tough non-conference schedule. Ohio already is bowl eligible. It is the better team but giving 7.5 on the road in MACtion when weird things happen? The Bulls have forced 16 turnovers over the last six games, including forcing 3+ in four of the last seven games. UB's defense is allowing 14 points and an average of 285 yards of total offense through four MAC games this season. Buffalo has allowed only 13 second-half points in MAC play. That unit should keep this close.

Buffalo's Maurice Linguist is a head coach that was never a coordinator. Over his three years as the HC the Bulls are 10-11 in MAC Games. Lance Leipold was 17-4 his last three years. The talent was here but no the Bulls are just an average MAC team. Ohio's Tim Albin is in his 3rd year as the HC after 16 years as an assistant. Albin is 13-8 in the MAC. Bobcat QB Kurtis Rourke is the best in the conference with 35 TD passes and just nine INT's the past 2 years. I have Ohio by double digits.