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2026 Alaska Senate race odds: Kalshi prediction markets show 69% probability for one side of Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan
Prediction markets like Kalshi allow you to trade on the outcome of the Alaska Senate winner
Alaska's U.S. Senate election on November 3 features incumbent Dan Sullivan (R) against former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola (D). New users can claim the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 and get a $55 bonus after $25 in trades. Sullivan has held the seat since 2015, while Peltola served in the House from 2022 to 2025. More than $1 million has been traded in the Alaska Senate winner market at Kalshi. Kalshi prices Peltola (D) at $0.69 per Yes share, compared with $0.32 for Sullivan (R). Claim the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 for a $55 bonus here:
You can trade on the outcome of the 2026 U.S. Senate control odds on prediction markets like Kalshi, with hundreds of political markets offered. Check out our Kalshi promo code review for full details.
How to claim the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 for $55 bonus
- Sign Up: Click Claim Bonus and enter code SPORTSLINE55 during registration.
- Verify: Pass identity verification (KYC)
- Deposit: Complete a deposit of $10+.
- Trade $25: Place $25 or more in trades within 30 days.
- Use Bonus Credits: Receive $55 in bonus trading credits and trade them within 7 days.
- Withdraw Cash Profits: Withdraw net cash profits from winning trades after completing the trade-through requirement.
Claim the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 for a $55 bonus here:
Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 details
Promo Code | |
Welcome Offer | |
Promo Eligibility | New users 18+ physically located in a state where Kalshi operates (*Political and election contracts are unavailable in NV & WA. Sports contracts are unavailable in NV, MI & WA.) |
Last Verified | November 3, 2026 |
Kalshi North Carolina Senate winner prediction market pricing
Alaska Senate winner:
- Democratic party (Mary Peltola): $0.69 per share
- Republican party (Dan Sullivan): $0.32 per share
Candidate history
Mary Peltola (D): Peltola served as Alaska's lone U.S. House representative from September 2022 to January 2025. She led the Aug. 18, 2026 top four primary with about 48% of the vote and had raised more than $18 million by the end of July. Claim the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 for a $55 bonus here:
Mary Peltola (D): Peltola served as Alaska's lone U.S. House representative from September 2022 to January 2025. She led the Aug. 18, 2026 top four primary with about 48% of the vote and had raised more than $18 million by the end of July. Claim the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 for a $55 bonus here:
Alaska's recent Senate voting history
Alaska has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate since Mark Begich in 2008. Sullivan defeated Begich in 2014 and won reelection in 2020, and Republican Lisa Murkowski holds the state's other seat. Claim the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 for a $55 bonus here:
Responsible Risk Management
It's a top priority for Kalshi to keep its users safe. Kalshi offers several risk management tools for traders that can be used at any time, including trading breaks, voluntary opt-out, and a personalized funding limit.
Prediction Markets are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) - an independent agency of the U.S. federal government.
Event contracts trading involves a risk of substantial loss and is not suitable for all investors. Participation in prediction markets is subject to applicable eligibility requirements. Participation may be restricted or prohibited in certain jurisdictions and participants are responsible for ensuring their participation complies with applicable laws and regulations in their jurisdiction. Prices subject to change. Content is promotional and not a recommendation to trade.
Written by Andy Bryan
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