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Thu, May 1411:00 pm UTCKeyBank Center
Montreal
Canadiens
MON
Last 5 ML
W/L57-44
ATS59-42
O/U52-47-2
FINAL SCORE
6
-
3
Buffalo
Sabres
BUF
Last 5 ML
W/L57-38
ATS53-42
O/U46-47-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
57-44
Win /Loss
57-38
59-42
Spread
53-42
52-47-2
Over / Under
46-47-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MON @ BUF
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MON @ BUF
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OVER / UNDER
MON @ BUF
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70%
PUBLIC
30%
MONEY
41%
PUBLIC
64%
MONEY
Over18%
PUBLIC
Under82%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over/UnderUnder 6 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1296
23-12 Last 35 NHL
+960
18-8-2 Last 28 NHL O/U
Todd's Analysis:

31...yes 31 total power play opportunities is what we've seen from these teams over the last three games. Typically as a series goes deeper and things tighten up a lot of the nonsense goes away and we see officials more reluctant to hand out power plays like Halloween candy. Montreal has really simplified their game on the road this postseason as well averaging just 1.62xG at 5 on 5 away from home. Combine that with Jakub Dobes strong play after a loss (4-0, .948 save percentage, 1.49 GAA) and we have the recipe for an under. Full disclosure I personally split my bet U6 full game and U1.5 (-105) for the 1st period tonight.

Pick Made: May 14, 10:25 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Anytime GoalscorerCole Caufield Anytime Goal Scorer +175
WIN
Unit1.0
+270
3-3 Last 6 NHL Player Props
Scott's Analysis:

After scoring a career-high 51 goals to finish two behind Nathan MacKinnon for the Maurice Richard Trophy this season, Cole Caufield tallied just once in Montreal's first nine playoff contests. But he appears to have rediscovered his touch as he ended his five-game drought in Game 3 and converted again two nights later. Including the 2025-26 regular season, Caufield has six goals in eight outings against Buffalo, and I expect him to add to that total Thursday night.

Pick Made: May 14, 2:13 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
AssistsJosh Doan Over 0.5 Total Assists +170
LOSS
Unit1.0
+270
3-3 Last 6 NHL Player Props
Scott's Analysis:

I was on the Josh Doan assist train for each of Buffalo's last two games and safely reached my desired destination both times, so I'm taking another ride. He's notched an assist in five straight and six of his last seven after going without a point in his first three career playoff games. The Canadiens have yet to find a way to keep Doan off the scoresheet in this series, and I don't see them discovering a method in Game 5.

Pick Made: May 14, 2:01 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Montreal Canadiens
No Player Injuries
Buffalo Sabres
Tuesday, May 19, 2026
Avatar
C
Noah Ostlund
Lower BodyOut
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