Regular season? Not touching this. To quote Jerry Lundegaard (Fargo -- amazingly good): "Heck you mean?" In the playoffs basically even money to just lose in overtime? Yep, I am taking that. I could give you many examples of No. 1 overall seeds where they kinda coasted to the end and were sloppy in Game 1 of a playoff series because they hadn't played a meaningful game in weeks. Presidents' Trophy winners like the Avs oddly have had first-round issues in recent years. Thing is, +1.5 is so cheap I think upping to +2 to avoid empty-net pain would be a great idea.