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Mon, Apr 2811:00 pm UTCAmerant Bank Arena
Tampa Bay
Lightning
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L48-39
ATS44-43
O/U42-40-5
FINAL SCORE
2
-
4
Florida
Panthers
FLA
Last 5 ML
W/L63-42
ATS52-53
O/U54-50-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
48-39
Win /Loss
63-42
44-43
Spread
52-53
42-40-5
Over / Under
54-50-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TB @ FLA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
TB @ FLA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
TB @ FLA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

51%
PUBLIC
49%
MONEY
20%
PUBLIC
80%
MONEY
Over83%
PUBLIC
Under17%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over/UnderUnder 5.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+495
7-2 in Last 9 NHL O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We're always apt to see empty-netters at the end of a game turning unders into overs in a snap (much like Caps-Canadiens on Sunday). Though two of the first three in this series have landed on the over side, there is still a defensive undertone to proceedings as we saw in the 2-0 Florida win in Game 2, with the lead expanded in the final moments on another empty-netter. The storyline in this series for us has been a recovery to normal form by Lighting GK Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has had issues in the playoffs the past two years but looking as good as ever across the past two games when stopping 54 of 56 Florida shots. Play Lightning-Panthers Under

Pick Made: Apr 28, 7:27 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineTampa Bay +126
LOSS
Unit1.0
+307
35-34 in Last 69 NHL Picks
+93
11-11 in Last 22 NHL ML Picks
+936
11-2 in Last 13 FLA ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

No home edge in this Sunshine State series, with road teams winning the first three and outscoring the home sides 13-3! What sticks out as much as the big hits by Brayden Hagel and Matthew Tkachuk, and the banter between Paul Maurice and Jon Cooper, is Andrei Vasilevskiy finding himself in goal since Game One for Tampa Bay. Vasilevskiy, not sharp in the past two playoffs, has steered aside 54 of 56 shots (.964 saves) the past two games. As Cooper noted after Game 2, the Lightning was its own worst enemy at home, missing several golden chances that they usually convert, and we got a reminder on Saturday that Tampa Bay is still very much in this series. Play Lightning on Money Line

Pick Made: Apr 28, 7:24 pm UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning
Monday, Dec 15, 2025
Avatar
LW
Brandon Hagel
UndisclosedQuestionable
Florida Panthers
Monday, Dec 15, 2025
Avatar
D
Gustav Forsling
UndisclosedQuestionable
Tuesday, Dec 02, 2025
Avatar
C
Cole Schwindt
ArmIr
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