As Boston's form has tailed off the past month after the fast start, the Bruins show just six wins across their past twelve games. Recent road losses at the Rangers and Blue Jackets underlined heightened concerns about the defense that were not abated by the shutout of the punchless Sharks on Thursday. The Leafs often step up when on Hockey Night in Canada, and have won six straight at Scotiabank Arena, with Mitch Marner in top form after his hat-trick vs. the Kraken in Thursday night's shootout win over Seattle. Play Maple Leafs on Money Line

It's rarer and rarer to see a flat 6 over/under in the NHL, and the fact we can get it in this game of all games is something worth jumping on. Boston is averaging 3.4 goals per game on the road over the past month and allowing 3.8 goals/game. Toronto's trends are similar at home, scoring 4.1 goals/game and letting in 3.9 more per game. Both teams are also handing out nearly four power play opportunities per game, which should open things up. The over has hit in four of Boston's last five on the road and six of Toronto's last seven at home.