Both the Sabres and Blues let up shots, and the goals tend to follow, with each allowing 3+ goals/game on the year. It's not hard to envision a sloppy game that favors offensive production, and based on how these two have fared in past meetings, the over is the play. Six of the past seven games between Buffalo and St. Louis have gone over 6.5, with the lone under seeing six goals. Two of Buffalo's last three road games has gone over and three of St. Louis's last five at home have flown over. Jordan Kyrou seems well-positioned for a goal, if you'd prefer to load up a scorer. He has three goals in his last four against the Sabres.

I have the Blues rated slightly better than the Sabres. The Blues are 6-3 at home while Buffalo is 5-7 in their past 12 games. The 24-year old Buffalo goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has been far better at home than on the road. Buffalo is off a 3-1 upset of the NY Rangers. My model has the Blues -155.