These two just played a few days ago, a 5-3 Chicago win. Tampa has been shut out in two straight games, which seems like a good time for them to take out some frustration on a Chicago team allowing 3.5 goals/game at home. Mrazek has allowed 3+ goals in 5 of his last 7 starts and Tampa has scored 3+ goals in 16 of the past 17 games vs Chicago. Opting for the over rather than the Lightning's Team Total because Chicago should be able to chip in here. Tampa is allowing 4.2 goals/game on the road, and Johansson is in net who has allowed 4+ goals in six straight starts, including 5 to this Chicago team one week ago