Eagles schedule, 2021 NFL odds: Philadelphia has league's easiest schedule, opens as 3-point Week 1 underdog at Falcons

Good news for Eagles fans: Your team has the easiest strength of schedule in the 2021 NFL season by one metric.
Hero Image

Is Jalen Hurts the Philadelphia Eagles' future at quarterback? That remains to be seen, but the former Heisman runner-up will put his 1-3 record as a starter on the line Week 1 of the 2021 NFL season in Atlanta, which opened as a 3-point favorite on the William Hill Sportsbook NFL odds. The Eagles could have stayed put at No. 6 in this year's draft and perhaps chosen a quarterback but opted to trade back -- but were still able to land Alabama receiver and 2020 Heisman winner DeVonta Smith. 

How much is NFL strength of schedule worth for a team when basing it completely off the combined winning percentage of its opponents from the previous season? There is some value, but it's not the be-all, end-all. Going by that metric, however, the Eagles have the easiest 2021 slate. The Eagles are given an Over/Under win total of 6.5 games via oddsmakers, while the SportsLine Projection Model forecasts the Eagles to win 5.5 games after going a hugely disappointing 4-11-1 in 2020.

Regarding the added 17th game this season, the Eagles were fourth in the NFC East and thus will visit the New York Jets, who finished fourth in the AFC East. The Jets' 2-14 record obviously makes Philly's 2021 slate that much easier. The Eagles' 17 opponents were a combined 117-155-0 last season, a winning percentage of .430. It obviously also helps Philly that not a single NFC East team finished with a winning record.

Philadelphia will open 2021 with the new signal-caller in Hurts, who was handed that role when Carson Wentz was traded to Indianapolis, and a new coaching staff headed by head coach Nick Sirianni.

Hurts was 2-2 against the spread as the late-season replacement for Wentz. Hurts wasn't super-accurate in completing only 52 percent of his passes, but he definitely brought a running element with 354 yards and three TDs on 63 carries overall, a 5.6-yards-per-carry average. His new backup is Joe Flacco. 

Ironically, Sirianni is the former offensive coordinator of Wentz's new team. When the Eagles hired Sirianni to replace Doug Pederson, some in the NFL thought that was a good sign for Wentz NOT being traded. Philadelphia entered the offseason with one of the worst salary cap situations in the NFL -- Wentz will count nearly $34 million in dead cap space, a league record. 

The Eagles will be looking to avoid back-to-back losing seasons for the first time since going 7-9 in 2015 & '16. That first season was the final one where Chip Kelly was head coach, and the 2016 campaign was Pederson's and Wentz's first year.  

Philadelphia Eagles trends/William Hill Sportsbook odds

  • 2020 record: 4-11-1 (6-10 against the spread, 7-9 Over/Under)
  • 2021 strength of schedule rank: 32nd (combined opponents' winning percentage of .430)
  • 2021 Over/Under win total: 6.5
  • SportsLine Projection Model forecasted wins: 5.5
  • Odds to win Super Bowl 56: +6000
  • To win NFC: +2800
  • To win NFC East: +425
  • To make playoffs: No -350, yes +280
  • NFL MVP odds: Jalen Hurts +8000

Philadelphia Eagles Schedule

Week 1 at Atlanta Falcons: Philly last won and covered in Atlanta in 2009 (0-3 SU & ATS since)

Week 2 vs. San Francisco 49ers: Eagles are 3-6 ATS in past nine home meetings but covered last one in 2017

Week 3 at Dallas Cowboys (MNF): America's Team has won and covered the past three in Big D in series

Week 4 vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Kansas City has won and covered the past two, last in 2017 in KC

Week 5 at Carolina Panthers: Five all-time meetings in Charlotte, and Eagles are 3-2 SU & ATS

Week 6 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TNF): Tom Brady's last-ever game in Philly? Bucs last visited in 2015

Week 7 at Las Vegas Raiders: Eagles' first-ever trip to Vegas; they are 2-2 SU & ATS in past four "at" Raiders

Week 8 at Detroit Lions: Detroit on three-game ATS winning streak at home in series (last in 2016)

Week 9 vs. Los Angeles Chargers: Bolts are 1-3 ATS in the past four meetings, but covered most recent one in 2017

Week 10 at Denver Broncos: Denver has won and covered past three at home, last a 52-20 rout in 2013

Week 11 vs. New Orleans Saints: Saints were in Philadelphia last December and upset 24-21

Week 12 at New York Giants: Eagles were -4.5 on Nov. 15, 2020 in New Jersey and lost 27-17

Week 13 at New York Jets: Philadelphia is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in past five as road team in series

Week 14 BYE

Week 15 vs. Washington Football Team: Eagles' three-game SU home winning streak ended in a 20-14 loss in 2020

Week 16 vs. New York Giants: While the Eagles have won seven straight at home in the series, they are 0-4 ATS in the past four

Week 17 at Washington Football Team: Teams have split the past 10 in Maryland both SU & ATS

Week 18 vs. Dallas Cowboys: Philly has won and covered the past two at home in the series, winning 23-9 last year

Where does every player appear in our 2021 Fantasy football rankings? And which rookie quarterback will provide shocking value? Join SportsLine right now to get 2021 Fantasy football rankings, all from the model that simulated the entire season 10,000 times.

Matt SeveranceSeverance Pays