Browns schedule, 2021 NFL odds: Cleveland opens at Chiefs on 16-game Week 1 winless streak; Christmas game in Green Bay

The rising Cleveland Browns largely focused on defense this offseason, including adding Jadeveon Clowney, as they look to reach their first-ever Super Bowl. The trek starts in Kansas City.
Hero Image

Almost impossibly, the Cleveland Browns are on a 16-game winless streak (0-15-1) in season openers and the chances of that ending in Week 1 this year are not great considering the Browns will visit the Super Bowl-favored Kansas City Chiefs in arguably the marquee matchup on Sunday, Sept. 12. Kansas City opened as a 5.5-point favorite on the NFL odds. Cleveland's lone Week 1 win since returning to the NFL was in 2004. 

Just four franchises have never played in a Super Bowl: Cleveland, Houston, Jacksonville and Detroit. With all due respect to those latter three, only the Browns have a shot at playing in Super Bowl 56 next February in Los Angeles. Led by former No. 1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney, the Browns largely focused on upgrading their defense off an 11-5 season and rare playoff berth/win. For 2021, Cleveland has an Over/Under win total of 9.5 but has one of the 10 toughest schedules in the NFL.

Last year, the Browns finished with a winning record for the first time since 2007 and made the playoffs for the first time since 2002. And they upset the Steelers in Pittsburgh in the wild-card round before pushing the Chiefs to the limit in a Divisional Round loss in Kansas City. There appears no question this franchise is on the rise.

An offense with Baker Mayfield, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry and Austin Hooper is pretty stacked. Thus, GM Andrew Berry focused in free agency largely on the defense, which allowed 26.2 points last regular season – second-most of any playoff team.

The Browns had been chasing Clowney, the 2014 No. 1 overall pick and three-time Pro Bowl defensive end, for a few years -- losing out on him to the Titans last offseason. However, Clowney signed a one-year, $10 million deal and will give Cleveland a potentially dynamic 1-2 punch at end with Myles Garrett, the No. 1 overall pick in 2017.

Garrett had 12 sacks in 14 games last year, his third year in a row with double digits. Clowney has yet to reach double-digit sacks in a season and had zero in 2020 with Tennessee, but the talent is there and now he won't be double-teamed. Over the last three seasons, Clowney has ranked fifth in the NFL with a pass-rush win rate of 25 percent. During that span, Garrett ranks third at 26 percent.

With Clowney, Garrett and Mayfield, the Browns now have three former No. 1 overall picks on the roster; no other team has more than one. Berry also added defensively the likes of another end in Takk McKinley, tackle Malik Jackson, linebacker Anthony Walker Jr., safety John Johnson and defensive back Troy Hill.

Safety was a problem spot for the Browns all last year after losing 2020 second-round pick Grant Delpit to a season-ending Achilles injury in training camp. Cleveland safeties gave up 12 touchdown passes when they were the nearest defender in coverage, the highest number in the NFL. Johnson gave up only one touchdown as the nearest defender.

The Browns' 2021 schedule is ranked as the ninth-toughest in the league as their 17 opponents – hosting the Cardinals is the 17th game – were a combined 140-130-2 last season.

Cleveland Browns trends/William Hill Sportsbook odds

  • 2020 record: 11-5 (6-10 against the spread, 9-7 Over/Under)
  • 2021 strength of schedule rank: ninth (opponents' combined winning percentage of .518)
  • 2021 Over/Under win total: 10
  • SportsLine Projection Model forecasted wins: 9.9
  • Odds to win Super Bowl 56: +1600
  • To win AFC: +850
  • To win AFC North: +150
  • To make playoffs: Yes -200, no +170
  • NFL MVP odds: Baker Mayfield +4000, Nick Chubb +10000

Cleveland Browns Schedule

Week 1 at Kansas City Chiefs: Kansas City escaped with 22-17 home win in Divisional Round of last season's playoffs

Week 2 vs. Houston Texans: Browns were -4.5 last year vs. visiting Texans and won 10-7 in windy conditions

Week 3 vs. Chicago Bears: Teams have split two games in Cleveland since Browns returned to NFL

Week 4 at Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota lost last home meeting 31-27 in 2013; Browns coached by former Vikes OC Kevin Stefanski

Week 5 at Los Angeles Chargers: Bolts have won all four home meetings (last in 2017) in series since Browns returned

Week 6 vs. Arizona Cardinals: Added 17th opponent; matchup of former Oklahoma QB Heisman winners between Mayfield and Kyler Murray

Week 7 vs. Denver Broncos (TNF): Denver has dropped past three in Cleveland, last in 2015

Week 8 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Browns have won past two at home in series but didn't cover last year (24-22)

Week 9 at Cincinnati Bengals: Just three wins for Browns in past 10 at Cincy, but one was last year 37-34

Week 10 at New England Patriots: Pats are 5-0 (4-1 ATS) in regular-season home games in series this century

Week 11 vs. Detroit Lions: Detroit has dropped its past two as road team in series, last in 2013

Week 12 at Baltimore Ravens (SNF): Cleveland is 2-8 (4-6 ATS) in past 10 trips to Baltimore

Week 13 BYE

Week 14 vs. Baltimore Ravens: Cleveland lost 47-42 last year and is 2-8 SU & ATS in past 10 home meetings

Week 15 vs. Las Vegas Raiders: Silver & Black were short road dogs last year and won 16-6

Week 16 at Green Bay Packers (Christmas): First trip to Lambeau for Browns since 31-13 loss in 2013

Week 17 at Pittsburgh Steelers (MNF): Pittsburgh's 17-game home win streak in series ended in wild-card loss

Week 18 vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Cincy has dropped past three on road in series but is 2-1 ATS

Where does every player appear in our 2021 Fantasy football rankings? And which rookie quarterback will provide shocking value? Join SportsLine right now to get 2021 Fantasy football rankings, all from the model that simulated the entire season 10,000 times.

Matt SeveranceSeverance Pays