This is a point higher than ideal range, but with Aiden O'Connell starting his first NFL game, even a porous Chargers defense should be able to manage enough stops. Most frustrating is how injured LA is going into this game, but even with Joshua Kelley struggling in place of Austin Ekeler, the offense has enough firepower to pull away in the second half. I just got this at -6 (-115) and would prefer that number if available.

Everything was pointing to a Raiders pick. For the Chargers: WR Mike Williams out for the season; RB Austin Ekeler, LB Joey Bosa and S Derwin James doubtful; C Corey Lindley on in the injured list. Those developments were trumped by one on the visitors' side. Las Vegas QB Jimmy Garoppolo was scratched, presumably leaving veteran Brian Hoyer to step in. But no. The Raiders reportedly are handing the ball to rookie Aiden O'Donnell, a fourth-round pick. The Chargers, accustomed to big absences, should handle this even with its shoddy pass defense.

Opposing quarterbacks are completing 74.7 percent of their passes versus the Raiders, with seven TDs and no INTs. Las Vegas, sixth-worst in pressure rate, faces a Chargers' offense that ranks eighth-best in pass-block win rate. Even without Mike Williams (torn ACL) and possibly Austin Ekeler (ankle), Justin Herbert should have another monster day. Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo is in the concussion protocol. He leads the NFL with six interceptions. If he can't play, the options are 37-year-old Brian Hoyer and fourth-round rookie Aidan O'Connell.