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nfl - Sun 11/29 | 6:00 PM UTC | Gillette Stadium |

Arizona @ New England

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
ARI -1
PK
Over / Under
50.5
48
ML
ARI -120
-140

Matchup breakdown

Arizona
New England
PROJ SCORE
8-7
W-L
6-9
7-8
ATS W-L
6-9
6-9
O/U
4-10
3.6
PT DIFF
-2.7
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Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Sun 11/29

Arizona @ New England | 11/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

OVER 49

LOSS

The weather will be perfect Sunday. Look for the Cardinals' dynamic offense -- they average 28.7 points -- to force the Patriots to keep up, and go Over.

+433 21-15-2 IN LAST 38 NFL PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 ARI O/U PICKS

R.J. White

Super Stat Geek
Fri 11/27

Arizona @ New England | 11/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

Arizona -1

LOSS

Kyler Murray is good to go for this matchup, and as a result the Cardinals should be favored by at least three points here. The Patriots defense has been abysmal this season, ranking 32nd in DVOA and net yards per pass attempt, and I don't see them slowing down an offense that ranks fifth in points per drive. The Patriots offense has had some success of late, but the Cardinals defense is third in red-zone success rate and 11th in DVOA, putting them in a much better class of stop units than teams like the Texans and Jets. I'd take the Cardinals as high as -2.5 and would still lean that way if it gets to -3.

+1670 78-55-5 IN LAST 138 NFL PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 NE ATS PICKS

Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
Sun 11/29

Arizona @ New England | 11/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

Arizona -1

LOSS

With the weather looking like it will be a non-issue, the question is whether the Patriots have enough offense to keep up with the Cardinals for four quarters. There’s no question that New England has a huge coaching edge in this game with Kliff Kingsbury’s maddening decision making at times costing Arizona opportunities, but the Cardinals have proven to be the much better team over the course of the season and do not have a defense strong enough to stop Kyler Murray for four quarters. I’m not that worried about his shoulder after he finished the last game, nor does the travel concern me given the meager spread. This is not exactly a must-win for the Cardinals, but it would put them in a much more comfortable spot for the playoffs.

+498 15-9-1 IN LAST 25 NFL ATS PICKS
+575 8-2 IN LAST 10 NE ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI ATS PICKS

Hank Goldberg

Hammer
Thu 11/26

Arizona @ New England | 11/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

Arizona -2.5

LOSS

The Cardinals had a bit of a letdown last Thursday at Seattle because of their dramatic win over Buffalo. They'll bounce back this week. The Patriots run the ball well but that's it. Arizona can handle that. Kyler Murray will be too much for New England.

+535 23-16-4 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS
+516 14-8 IN LAST 22 NE ATS PICKS

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
Fri 11/27

Arizona @ New England | 11/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

New England +1

WIN

Arizona is clearly the more talented team and probably would win by at least a TD at home or at a neutral site vs. New England. However, there are a few factors why we will lean the Pats. First, Kyler Murray is reportedly not 100 percent with an AC joint sprain. If he were to injure that worse during the game, the Cards' backup is former Winnipeg Blue Bomber Chris Streveler. Yeah, slight downgrade. Also, the Cards are without No. 2 wideout Larry Fitzgerald due to COVID-19. There's also the 11 a.m. Phoenix time kickoff. Meanwhile, the Pats HAVE to have this to keep their slim playoff hopes alive and will get back 2019 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Stephon Gilmore from injury. He could shut down DeAndre Hopkins.

+225 20-16-1 IN LAST 37 NFL PICKS
+175 4-2 IN LAST 6 NE ATS PICKS

Kyle Akins

SportsBook Breakers
Sat 11/28

Arizona @ New England | 11/29 | 6:00 PM UTC

New England +1.5

WIN

New England was getting too much respect last week when the Patriots were favored in Houston. But the line has shifted in this game with the Patriots being rare home underdogs. Arizona does not have the caliber of wins to justify being favored in New England. The Pats defense did not do enough as it dropped the game in Houston last week 27-20. The Patriots are 14-0 ATS since Oct 22, 2000, as a dog coming off a loss where they allowed at least 24 points. Prediction: New England 31, Arizona 24.

+321 13-9-3 IN LAST 25 NFL PICKS
+95 2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI ATS PICKS

Arizona

player
QBKylerMurray
25.19fan duel$8,700
27.11draft kings$7,600
27.49cbs sports
player
RBKenyanDrake
9.73fan duel$6,600
11.13draft kings$5,700
9.08cbs sports
player
RBChaseEdmonds
9.8fan duel$5,500
11.89draft kings$4,900
8.04cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
K. MurrayKyler Murray25/372801.701.100.1727.5
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
K. DrakeKenyan Drake13.6580.404.30.159.1
K. MurrayKyler Murray7.8480.566.10.1727.5
C. EdmondsChase Edmonds6.8310.144.60.118.0
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
D. HopkinsDeAndre Hopkins7.9980.4212.40.1112.2
C. KirkChristian Kirk4.3620.5314.40.069.6
A. IsabellaAndy Isabella2.4320.2613.40.034.8
C. EdmondsChase Edmonds3.4280.248.30.118.0
D. ArnoldDan Arnold2.1280.1213.10.023.5
K. DrakeKenyan Drake1.390.037.10.159.1
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
A. DSTARI DST1.710.950.591.61.82.4

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Darrell Daniels, Chandler Jones, Jordan Phillips, Corey Peters, Josh Mauro, Robert Alford, Isaiah Irving
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

New England

player
QBCamNewton
19.99fan duel$7,500
20.8draft kings$5,800
21.86cbs sports
player
RBDamienHarris
9.57fan duel$5,900
10.86draft kings$5,200
9.42cbs sports
player
RBSonyMichel
5.21fan duel$5,300
5.72draft kings$4,000
4.97cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
C. NewtonCam Newton21/302101.400.930.1121.9
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
D. HarrisDamien Harris14.2730.335.20.149.4
S. MichelSony Michel7.6360.184.80.085.0
C. NewtonCam Newton8.6350.544.00.1121.9
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
J. MeyersJakobi Meyers5.2580.2711.10.067.4
D. ByrdDamiere Byrd3.7480.2512.90.046.4
J. WhiteJames White4.0300.217.60.107.1
N. HarryN`Keal Harry3.5280.378.00.135.0
R. IzzoRyan Izzo1.5220.0814.80.122.5
G. OlszewskiGunner Olszewski0.9110.0511.50.071.6
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
N. DSTNE DST2.261.080.761.51.82.2

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Rex Burkhead, Matt LaCosse, Marqise Lee, Dont`a Hightower, Patrick Chung, Brandon Copeland, Brandon Bolden, Carl Davis, Dan Vitale, Beau Allen
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 11/29/2020 16:46 GMT