Perhaps this is a bit of a reaction to last week, but Jared Goff's play of late has me struggling to back the Rams, particularly in a game like this where he will face an attacking defense on the road at night in a hostile stadium. The Los Angeles offense begins with a strong running game, and Todd Gurley is not allowing the team to operate efficiently. On a short week, I like Pete Carroll to take advantage of what he saw in the Bucs game. If Jameis Winston can score 55 on these Rams, surely Russell Wilson and his talented receivers can get enough points at home to cover a meager spread. The Rams will bounce back and be a great team to back ATS soon, I just don't think it starts this week.

The spread in this matchup has moved quite a bit, as the Rams have gone from favorites to 1.5-point dogs here, and I don't like where it's at now. What I do like in this game is the Under. The Under is 5-1 in the Rams last six road games, as well as 5-2 the last seven years when these division rivals play in Seattle.

This is a tough spot for the Rams, who don’t have much time to regroup after getting lit up for 55 points and must travel to face a team that thrives in primetime. The Seahawks are 6-2 all-time on Thursday Night Football, including 4-1 at home, with that one loss coming the year TNF began in 2006 (they’re also 24-11 all-time on Monday Night Football, 18-6 at home). This doesn’t look like the same Rams team as a year ago, despite a 3-1 start. Lay the point and a half.

The Rams really haven't looked right all year, with their only convincing win coming in a game where the other QB was injured in the first half. Seattle has done a great job protecting the ball, with Russell Wilson throwing zero picks in his first four games. But the big reason to take the Seahawks here comes down to Pete Carroll's record at home in primetime: 17-2 straight up since taking over the Seahawks, with a 15-3-1 ATS mark against the spread. This is the spot where the Sehawks have shined, time and again.

This game will boil down to whether or not the Rams can protect QB Jared Goff. As we've seen throughout the season, Goff gets skittish in the pocket at the first flash of pressure. The Seahawks have grown offensively and are playing with balance. Because of their ability to control the pocket, their offense will get its share of opportunities to put points on the board.

The Seahawks have been pretty fortunate in a couple of wins against bad teams. They allowed 429 yards of total offense to a limited Bengals club in their season opener, and lost to New Orleans in its first full game without Drew Brees. Seattle will likely be unable to establish a running game against the Los Angeles defense. The Rams' defensive line can have success against a one-dimensional offense, and the Seahawks also are banged up along the offensive line. Look for teh Rams to bounce back form their disaster against Tampa Bay with a win Thursday night.

The Rams got embarrassed at home by the Buccaneers on Sunday, and while I expect them to fix things with some urgency this week, I also expect another high-scoring game. The Over has happened the last three meetings between the Seahawks and Rams. Russell Wilson is off to a great start, but his three wins this season have come against teams with one combined win. Over is the top play here.