Over-reading cute angles ATS is a recipe for disaster. That is evident Sunday as the Bengals hired Hue Jackson last week. Thoughts of Jackson hindering a Browns offense relying on several young starters is a basic thought. Instead look for the Browns and Bengals to be the latest NFL matchup to feature a bevy of points. Grab the over.

The Browns and Bengals have stayed Under in six of their last eight meetings and the Bengals have won and covered the last seven meetings, but I'm looking for the Browns to be very competitive here offensively which should get this game Over the total. The Bengals have gone Over in seven of 10 games this season thanks to allowing an average of 31 ppg. Over is the top play.

Cincinnati has dominated this rivalry, winning seven straight, all by big margins. But the Browns are rested and ready to take the next step. Baker Mayfield should have a big day against the Bengals' horrific defense. Grab the points.

The wheels have officially fallen off the Bengals' bandwagon. Once alone at the top of the AFC North standings at 4-1, Cincy has dropped four of its last five and doesn't look like a playoff contender in any way, shape or form. My simulations bear this out as the Browns are projected to cover nearly 60 percent of the time -- and win outright more than half the time. During this five-game span, the Bengals are yielding over 38 points per game. That's not good against a division rival on the ascent. Back the Browns.