The return of Klay Thompson will not only give the Warriors a needed offensive boost, but his mental toughness will add a huge emotional lift as well. We saw the Raptors have a letdown after winning Game 1 at home, and these flat spots are usually even more pronounced following a road win to regain home-court advantage. No doubt they will say the right things and play hard, but this team isn't one you can count on for two straight dominant road performances. Instead, look for the Warriors to play with appropriate desperation and even the NBA Finals.

The Warriors have covered only twice in their last eight home games and went 19-30-1 ATS at home this season, but this is the one game of them all with their season on the line. If they don't win tonight the series is basically over and I've seen Steph Curry produce more in this type of situation than fail. I'm on the Warriors.

The good news for the Warriors is that Klay Thompson (hamstring) is expected to return. However, who knows how effective he will be, especially with regards his mobility on the defensive end. Kevin Durant (calf) is still out and DeMarcus Cousins couldn’t get anything going in Game 3. I still think the Warriors can win, but it will be close, so I’ll take the points.

Yes, Klay Thompson will play, but how effective will he be? Although the Raptors won't shoot as well as they did Wednesday, and they have a habit of following up great games with subpar ones, I think this spot is different. Their confidence is growing and they simply match up well with this banged-up version of the Warriors. Grab the points as this one goes down to the wire.