The Bucks average 119 points at home, and they should bounce back after their worst performance of this series. Lay it as home court continues to be decisive.

The Raptors played well at home and evened the series. They could have some momentum heading into Game 5, but I'm looking for the Bucks to bounce back. When they've had one day's rest this season, they've gone 36-18-1 ATS. When looking at Game 4 stats, the only thing the Raptors did much better was making free throws. Home court will be huge here. Bucks get the cover Thursday.

We’ve seen a sharp decline in the opening number for tonight’s total in the Bucks-Raptors Game 5. A double-overtime affair was the reason for Game 3 going Over, and a lackluster defensive effort was the root cause for Game 4. Game 5 is the most crucial in an extended series. Expect both teams to increase their intensity and the total to fall Under.

The Bucks and Raptors have all the dynamics of a seven-game series. Each team has shown an ability to play at a heightened level on its home floor. That’s a bit of a conundrum for oddsmakers at this stage of the playoffs. Youth is the downside of the Bucks, but their advantage on their home floor is uncanny. Grab Milwaukee to get back on track after a Game 4 letdown.

As good as the Bucks looked in the first two games of the Eastern Conference Finals, the Raptors took advantage of the series shifting to Toronto to tie things up. The Raptors are 6-3 ATS at home during the playoffs, but just 2-5 ATS on the road. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 6-1 ATS at home during their playoff run. This is a big number, but I’ll still take the Bucks to cover Thursday.