2021 National League Rookie of the Year odds: Marlins pitcher Trevor Rogers running away with award

The NL Rookie of the Year race appears over coming out of the All-Star break.
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The Miami Marlins have only been in existence since 1993, but the franchise already has had four National League Rookie of the Year Award winners. Barring a major falloff in the second half of the 2021 season, it appears that lefty pitcher Trevor Rogers will be No. 5 as he's the clear-cut NL Rookie favorite via various oddsmakers.

SportsLine has compiled NL Rookie of the Year odds from a handful of sportsbooks and come up with a mean average. Rogers is sitting at around even money. Rookie rules are in different sports – for example, in the NBA you are a rookie in the year you are drafted whether you play that season or not (Blake Griffin, for example, didn't play his rookie season). In MLB, there are certain innings/at-bats minimums a player has to pass to not be declared a rookie.

The 23-year-old Rogers, the No. 13 overall pick in the 2017 draft out of a New Mexico high school, did pitch in seven games (28 innings) in the shortened 2020 campaign and wasn't very good with a 1-2 record, 6.11 ERA and 1.61 WHIP.

However, he has been terrific this year with a 7-6 record, 2.31 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 122 strikeouts in 101.1 innings. His 3.1 WAR is a full win better than the next best rookie. 

Rogers was named an NL All-Star but was hit a bit hard Tuesday night in the National League's 5-2 loss, allowing two runs and two hits in his one inning. Rogers was the sixth Marlins rookie named an All-Star, the most of any franchise since 1993, passing the Yankees (five) and Dodgers (five).

The previous Marlins winners of NL Rookie of the Year were: pitcher Dontrelle Willis in 2003, shortstop Hanley Ramirez in 2006, outfielder Chris Coghlan in 2009 and late pitcher Jose Fernandez in 2013.

It's not yet clear when Rogers will take the mound this weekend in Philadelphia. Teammate and seconds baseman Jazz Chisholm is +750 to win NL Rookie of the Year. Also 23, he's hitting .257 with 11 homers, 34 RBIs and 10 steals, leading all NL rookies in homers and steals, second in RBIs and slugging (.447).

Braves pitcher Ian Anderson remains among the top competition for Rogers, but Anderson is expected to be placed on the injured list by Friday with right shoulder tightness – obviously, a potentially ominous sign. Anderson was spectacular last year in 32.1 regular-season innings with a 1.95 ERA (and in the playoffs). This year in 18 starts, he's 5-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Any lengthy IL stint would end his ROY hopes.

Via SportsLine oddsmakers: NL Rookie of the Year favorites

  • Trevor Rogers Even
  • Ian Anderson +600
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes +650 (was preseason favorite)
  • Jonathan India +700
  • Jazz Chisholm +750
  • Dylan Carlson +800

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