Kevin Gausman has allowed 0-2 earned runs in five of six starts and is backed by a trending-upward bullpen facing a struggling Twins offense. Minnesota likely won’t score much. On the flip side, Bailey Ober has been solid his last two starts for the Twins, but the team hasn’t won a game without scoring at least 11 runs in over a week.

We played this same number yesterday from Target Field in part due to chilly temps and it cashed vs. Seattle. Same deal really tonight in a series opener with the Jays in town. Toronto's Kevin Gausman has been terrific with 2.57 ERA. Minnesota's Bailey Ober has a 3.68 ERA at home. Target Field is pitcher-friendly regardless. The full-game total is 8 so I wouldn't play any lower than this and could have gotten either 4 or a 3.5.