The Nationals have momentum after sweeping Milwaukee, when they were +150 or higher in all three games, scoring an average of 6 runs per game. They've averaged 11.8 runs a game, going over the total 11 times, which is why the total is sitting at 7.5 with Paul Skenes pitching. The Nationals are hitting the over in 73.3% of their games, which is second only to Tampa Bay at 76.9%. Nats starter Cade Cavalli has pitched very well in his three starts, all of which have gone over. Skenes has gone over all three games as well, but in his last two outings, he has only allowed one run each. The bet is against the high Skenes total. Under.