Only once in three starts has Guardians starter Gavin Williams allowed more than one run (that includes a seven-inning blanking of the mighty Dodgers). Only once in three starts has Cardinals LHP Matthew Liberatore allowed more than one run over five, as well. Each batting lineup is below-average vs. RHP and LHP, respectively. Winds blowing out offers an edge to hitters, but we’ll back the pitchers who combine to allow under one dinger per start.

DraftKings/Caesar’s. Gavin Williams has only allowed five hits through his first three starts, staying under this line in each of his three outings. He was also under in 20/31 starts last year. He was fourth amongst all qualifiers in pitches per plate (4.14) appearance last season, and seems to be headed down that path again this year (4.12). His high strikeout rate (37% in a small sample size) and walk rate (21%) don’t leave much room for balls in play - and when opponent’s do make contact, Williams has an above average ground ball rate, with a stellar infield defense behind him. His matchup tonight, the Cardinals, are only hitting .212 against righties this season, and an even worse .200 average against power pitchers.