Caesar’s. I’m going to stay on Shane McClanahan’s under at 15.5 outs, until the Rays show they are willing to let him loose. After making his first MLB start in two and a half years last week, McClanahan faltered in the fifth inning after a near perfect beginning to his outing. I do think the Rays will continue to be ultra protective of their lefty ace. The Cubs are a good bet to drive up pitch counts as well - they see the fourth most pitches per plate appearance so far this season, including the eleventh lowest in zone swing rate and the seventh lowest chase rate.

I have been to Tropicana Field many, many times and it's a pit. But it's the Rays' pit -- for now -- and their first time back there since the 2024 season due to hurricane damage that sent the Rays to Tampa for 2025. So certainly a bit more juice than even a typical home opener and it's ace lefty Shane McClanahan on the hill. Chicago played a doubleheader in Cleveland on Sunday so the bullpen is not in ideal shape. The Cubs are 1-2 away and I'm not a fan of starting pitcher Jameson Taillon. Two Rays in Yandy Diaz and Cedric Mullins have really nice career splits off him. Ideally, Cubs win by one.