Byron Buxton is swinging a red-hot bat, with 3 HRs over his last two games played. He only has three career ABs against Aaron Nola despite both being in the majors for a long time, and he's 1-for-3 with a double. Nola is having the worst year of his career and has allowed 10 HRs in 8 home starts. We set the line at +250 for Buxton to homer.