Juan Soto has seen Aaron Nola plenty over their careers and has handled him well, posting a .983 OPS and 3 HRs. He's also walked 15 times against Nola, so betting Soto to walk could be another strong angle. Soto has 6 multi-hit games and 6 HRs over his last 9 games, and Nola is in the midst of the worst season of his career. We set Soto's line at +280 to homer.

Phillies starter Aaron Nola is broken. He has a 6.78 ERA and it's 8.38 since he returned from a lengthy injury absence. On the other side, I feel like things have gone far too swimmingly for Mets rookie Nolan McLean and he's due a little regression, especially since a righty-mashing team that just was dominated by him on Aug. 27. Both bullpens can be vulnerable, too.