Noah Cameron has looked shakier in recent starts, allowing 4 HRs over his last three outings after a dominant start to his career. Zach Neto has just a .234 average over the past month, but 9 of his 22 hits have been home runs. He's also been dangerous as a leadoff hitter, with 9 leadoff HRs this season. Cameron has struggled against leadoff hitters, allowing a .333 average and .961 OPS. We set Neto's line at +385 to homer.