The wind is blowing inward in Washington today, which is likely why this price is available for Pete Alonso. Still, Alonso is powerful enough to get the ball through the wind if he gets a hold of it. He's just 2-18 in his career against MacKenzie Gore, but one of those hits was a HR. Alonso has also struck out just twice in 19 plate appearances against Gore, so he puts the ball in play. Gore has given up 17 HRs this season—12 of them to right-handed batters—and has struggled in the second half, posting an 8.13 ERA over his last 6 starts compared to a 3.02 ERA in his first 19. We set Alonso's line close to +300 when factoring in the weather.