Oneil Cruz is 0-for-8 in his career against Zac Gallen, which likely explains the +400 price. However, Gallen is struggling—he's allowed 12 earned runs over his last two starts and has given up multiple home runs in 4 of his last 8 outings. He also leads the league with 23 home runs allowed. Cruz homered yesterday and has hit 16 of his 17 HRs against right-handed pitchers this season. We set Cruz's line at +348 to homer.

Only three runs scored to date across the entirety of this weekend series at PNC Park...and Paul Skenes hasn't even pitched yet. He will on Sunday, however, bringing with him an 0.86 ERA for July, while noting that no more than three runs have been scored in the four games he has started this month. For sure, Zac Gallen can't match those numbers on the D-backs side, and his recent efforts have been very shaky, but the rumor mill has him in the trade deadline window, and Sunday might be a potential showcase day. It could help Gallen to be facing a decidedly popgun Pittsburgh attack that's scored the fewest runs in the NL (352...23 fewer than the Rockies!). Play Diamondbacks-Pirates Under