Dylan Cease is having a rough season with an ERA of just under 4.50 and is having arguably the worst season of his career. Cease has long struggled with consistency and that has been especially evident on the road where he has consistently struggled throughout his career. Cease has a tough assignment today in a very hitter friendly environment at Great American Ballpark. He’ll face a Reds lineup that has crushed righties all session and possess a top 5 wOBA.

This is a correlated play and hopefully I'm not over-leveraged, but I think it's a short outing for Cease in which he gets knocked around. I'm playing the over earned runs prop, too. It's so hot and humid, the ball will fly in Great American Ball Park. Cease won't be around long enough to strike out seven.

Cease has a 6.26 ERA on the road this season and it's very hot and humid in Cincy's Great American Ball Park, a notorious hitters' yard. The Reds will get to Cease the second time through the order, if not the first.