Well, the Rays have to lose once in a while, so nights like Tuesday and a 5-1 loss to the O's can happen even if winning 19 of the previous 25. For tonight, note Taj Bradley's ERA has been inflated by a couple of poor efforts, yet for the most part he's pitched effectively in the Tampa Bay rotation. He didn't allow a run in his last start vs. the Mets on Friday, though he went only 4 innings. Meanwhile, not sold yet on Birds starter Trevor Rogers, who had a 7.11 ERA in limited work with Miami last season before posting 6 1/3 shutout innings vs. the Bosox on May 24 in his only start yet this campaign. Play Rays on the Money Line.

We are going back to Gunnar Henderson for a second day in a row, but this time at a better price. Henderson has very favorable splits vs. right-handed pitchers, and he's facing Taj Bradley, who is coming off two poor starts. Bradley has actually been much better at preventing home runs this season compared to his career rates, but we do expect some regression. Henderson is 4-for-12 off Bradley with a home run, so there is some familiarity in this matchup. We set the line at +350 for Henderson to homer.