Are the Rays being undervalued? Now 19-6 across their last 25 games, and having scored seven or more in the current four-game uptick that includes a sweep of the Mets at Citi Field. Tampa Bay seems to be getting scant respect from the oddsmakers based upon this rather short price tonight (better value -1.5 runs) at Steinbrenner Field against the Birds. Especially since Baltimore starter Dean Kremer has been in-and-out all season and off of two less-than-stellar efforts, with a 6.57 ERA in two June starts. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has won in eight of the last nine starts made by Zack Littell, who's pitched into the seventh inning in seven of the last eight. Play Rays on the Run Line.

Gunnar Henderson is facing Zack Littell, who he has raked against in his career—going 7-for-15 with 2 home runs. Gunnar is hitting .319 with 7 home runs against right-handed pitchers this season, compared to just .202 with 1 home run against lefties. This line is as low as +220 on DraftKings, so it's not just our model that loves Henderson today. Littell has given up 7 home runs over his last 3 starts and will be pitching in very hitter-friendly conditions in Tampa today. We set Henderson's line at +320 to homer.