Ketel Marte had three hits and two home runs in the first game of the series, bringing his total to 10 home runs in just 31 games this season. He has dominated right-handed pitching, hitting .329 with a 1.169 OPS and 9 of his 10 home runs against righties. He's also performed well in day games, hitting .360 with 3 home runs in just 8 such games. Braves' starter Grant Holmes is finally showing what made him a first-round pick over a decade ago, but he has still given up 11 home runs this season. Only 2 of those have come in his last 3 starts, which explains the value we're getting on Marte. We set Marte's line at +260 to hit a home run.