Taylor Ward likes playing away from Los Angeles. He is hitting just .151 with 4 home runs at home this season, but he's hitting .265 with 12 home runs on the road. Ward has hit 14 of his 16 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. Red Sox starter Brayan Bello has done a solid job of preventing home runs this season, but he has struggled against left-handed batters. Lefties are hitting .297 with a .863 OPS against Bello this season. We set Ward's line at +440 to hit a home run, so there's value at +480.