Oneil Cruz is on an absolute tear right now. Just yesterday, he set a new record with the hardest-hit home run ever recorded at a blistering 122.9 mph. Over his last three games, Cruz has launched three home runs and added a triple. He's been especially dominant against right-handed pitchers, boasting a .995 OPS and hitting 10 of his 11 home runs against them. Today, he faces Ryne Nelson, who has been relatively stingy with home runs but is more vulnerable at home throughout his career, where opponents are hitting .294 against him compared to .234 on the road. Given Cruz's recent hot hitting, our model sees value at +340, as we would set the line at +300.