Erick Fedde is coming off a complete game shutout in his last start and has only allowed 3 HRs all season, but whenever you can get Schwarber at this price with the way he's been swinging the bat, you have to consider playing it. Schwarber is tied for the MLB lead with 14 home runs and is currently riding a 45-game on-base streak. While Schwarber has historically crushed right-handed pitching, he's actually been more effective against lefties since last season. This may explain the slightly generous odds. Schwarber is also 3-for-7 with a home run in his career against Fedde. Our model sets the line at +330, making +425 a strong value play.