Kyle Tucker has a strong history against Cal Quantrill, going 3-for-4 with a home run. While the wind is slightly blowing in, it's not enough to significantly suppress offense, as reflected by a neutral home run index of 5 out of 10. Tucker's power and past success against Quantrill make this a worthwhile play. We set the fair line at +400, so +475 offers good upside.

It won't be frigid, but tonight will be one of those cooler spring nights at Wrigley Field with the wind blowing in directly from center. The park tilts far more into the pitcher's favor on nights like that.