Playing in Denver always inflates these hit prices, and while Matt McLain is a good player he hasn't gotten going yet batting just .169 on the year and .122 this month -- with a single two-hit game in April while playing essentially every day. He has not previously seen Rox starter Antonio Senzatela.

Hunter Greene had a really rough time last outing. I do not have concerns about that happening again vs this weak lineup. Greene can overpower this group and I fancy the Reds bullpen, too. Two runs might get us home here. Reds lineup isn't special but Antonio Senzatela and his 2.0 WHIP isn't, either. Red legs can also run on the Rockies catcher and small ball a few runs if necessary.