The Detroit Tigers will host a San Diego Padres team that is coming off a Sunday night win. Still, they are below .500 on the year on the road with a 4-5 record. Detroit on the other hand after an 0-3 start to the season has won five out of their last six series. Each opener of those six series they have won with an average run production of 7.3 runs. Take Detroit.

A rematch of the 1984 World Series here as the Pads seek a better result. Salvaging the finale of the weekend series in Houston was a positive, though losing Luis Arraez (likely only for the short-term) after a scary collision is a concern. Whatever, a nice price on what has been one of the hottest teams in the bigs, and Randy Vasquez has been solid in his four starts, as his 1.74 ERA suggests. We've been mostly going with the Tigers but make an exception today, also because starter Keider Montero did not impress in his 2025 debut last Wednesday, surrendering five runs (with three homers) in 5 IP during a loss to Milwaukee. Play Padres on the Money Line.

Kerry Carpenter continues to mash right-handed pitching, posting a .959 OPS on the season. He’s particularly dangerous at home, where he has hit 4 of his 5 home runs and owns a 1.046 OPS. Tonight he faces Randy Vasquez, who has been effective but isn’t missing many bats — relying on soft contact. That style can backfire quickly, and we expect some regression to hit. Our model prices Carpenter’s HR odds at +460, giving this bet solid value at +500.