We hit this same prop yesterday at -110, and even though it’s now priced at -120, it still carries strong value. Corbin Carroll has scored in 5 of his last 6 games and 7 of the last 10, with 4 multi-run games in that stretch. FanDuel has this at -170 now, so locking it in at -120 is a clear edge.

Max Meyer enters this contest with 19 strikeouts in his three starts, finishing each with at least four., He's facing an Arizona offense with the best strikeout rate in baseball. This has led to what I believe is an overcorrection to Meyer's projected total.