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Wed, Jul 1012:10 am UTCAmerican Family Field
68 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 5 ML
W/L76-86
ATS86-75
O/U77-81-4
FINAL SCORE
12
-
2
Milwaukee
Brewers
MIL
Last 5 ML
W/L93-69
ATS84-76
O/U81-69-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
76-86
Win /Loss
93-69
86-75
Spread
84-76
77-81-4
Over / Under
81-69-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PIT @ MIL
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MONEYLINE
PIT @ MIL
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OVER / UNDER
PIT @ MIL
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1%
PUBLIC
99%
MONEY
13%
PUBLIC
87%
MONEY
Over96%
PUBLIC
Under4%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineMilwaukee -164
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1027.25
78-44 in Last 122 MLB ML Picks
+506
11-2 in Last 13 PIT ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Pittsburgh had a matinee Monday before traveling and while good young shortstop Oneil Cruz had two homers today, he also was pulled with a tight hamstring so perhaps he gets a game or two off as the Bucs can't afford a serious injury to Cruz. Will do listed pitchers because I do want to fade Pittsburgh rookie Quinn Priester (0-5, 4.83) but if it's not him for some reason may not want to play this. It's Colin Rea for the Brewers, who were off today. Rea is 5-1 with a 2.83 ERA at home. Rea is also 5-0 with a 2.56 ERA in his last eight outings overall and had a quality start vs. the Bucs on May 13 but was a tough-luck loser.

Pick Made: Jul 08, 11:11 pm UTC on FanDuel

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Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates
Monday, Jun 09, 2025
Avatar
RP
Dauri Moreta
ElbowIl
Sunday, Jun 08, 2025
Avatar
SP
Andrew Heaney
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
C
Joey Bart
ConcussionIl
Avatar
3B
Malcom Nunez
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
CF
Jase Bowen
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
SP
Carlson Reed
BackIl
Avatar
P
Derek Diamond
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, Jun 07, 2025
Avatar
1B
Endy Rodriguez
ElbowIl
Thursday, May 29, 2025
Avatar
SP
Johan Oviedo
LatIl
Avatar
RP
Colin Holderman
ThumbIl
Wednesday, May 21, 2025
Avatar
1B
Enmanuel Valdez
ShoulderIl
Avatar
RP
Justin Lawrence
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Jared Jones
ElbowIl
Wednesday, May 07, 2025
Avatar
P
Cristofer Melendez
UndisclosedIl
Thursday, Apr 24, 2025
Avatar
RP
Tim Mayza
ShoulderIl
Milwaukee Brewers
Monday, Jun 09, 2025
Avatar
CF
Garrett Mitchell
ObliqueIl
Sunday, Jun 08, 2025
Avatar
RP
Thomas Pannone
ForearmIl
Avatar
SS
Eric Brown
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
SS
Ethan Murray
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RF
Luis Castillo
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, Jun 07, 2025
Avatar
RP
Connor Thomas
ElbowIl
Thursday, Jun 05, 2025
Avatar
SP
Brandon Woodruff
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Jun 04, 2025
Avatar
SS
Josh Adamczewski
UndisclosedIl
Tuesday, Jun 03, 2025
Avatar
C
Ramon Rodriguez
UndisclosedIl
Thursday, May 29, 2025
Avatar
SP
Nestor Cortes
ElbowIl
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Avatar
RF
Blake Perkins
Lower LegIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
RP
J.B. Bukauskas
LatIl
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Robert Gasser
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
47%
43-47, -386
53-38, +890
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
47%
21-23, -21
27-13, +802
67%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
47%
25-28, +182
31-17, +456
64%
When Line was +122 to +152
MONEY LINE
When Line was -176 to -146
42%
6-8, -5
8-4, +86
66%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
46%
15-17, +103
21-8, +653
72%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
51%
15-14, +262
20-13, +397
60%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
68%
11-5, +591
39-26, +654
60%
3rd game without a day off
REST
After a Day Off
46%
29-34, -483
9-2, +605
81%
vs MIL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PIT
42%
3-4, -120
4-3, -23
57%
when Josh Fleming starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Colin Rea starts
50%
1-1, -26
11-4, +626
73%
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